E-mail van Corbyn

woensdag 21 november 2007 13:04

Corbyn stuurde Elsevier dinsdagavond 20 november 2007 om 22.58 uur een update van zijn voorspelling voor 23 tot en met 28 november.

Storm Update Message from Piers Corbyn WeatherAction Tues 20th Nov 2007

PLEASE PASS ON TO ANYONE CONCERNED

Citizens,

The first storm wave is now showing on forecast maps for Friday 23rd/Sat 24th Nov. AS PREDICTED.

The situation is also open for the second storm wave to follow.

We repeat our warnings

1. Standard meteorology will underestimate winds and rain even from 24hours ahead particularly for forecasts of weather in period 24th to 28th Nov.

Our estimation of top gusts over 90mph very likely in the region of the storm track remains, with 100mph likely to be topped in exposed North sea/Island/and perhaps some headland parts.

2. FORECAST USERS should note our projected storm tracks and short range information for estimating top gusts in their area. From 24 hours ahead standard meteorology will probably be reasonable about storm tracks but underestimate wind strength and rain.

The core regions under threat in our long range forecast map for Storm wave 1 remain Scotland, parts of NE England and Central/South Norway and - to a lesser extent - North Denmark.

Forecast Users in Holland and Belgium please note that they were never forecasted to be in the core storm track for storm wave 1 and will not be in it. (Wave 2 is likely to be more important in wind terms for Holland and Belgium). The main threat to Holland and the East/SouthEast coast of England from storm wave 1 (and probably also storm wave 2) will be the North Sea storm surge which will coincide with a series of exceptionally high tides -  close to highest possible tides on and after 24th November. The Full Moon on 24th is also a lunar perigee full moon (i.e. closest to Earth) which makes the Moon look a little bigger and make it most effective at tide raising.

Please get in touch with questions and keep us informed of events.

Thank you

Piers Corbyn,

WeatherAction

Lees de artikelen Corbyn houdt vol: Superstorm komt eraan! en Toch superstorm? KNMI geeft weerwaarschuwing